Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.113131 0.125455 0.138137 0.152130 0.167110 0.182636 0.199914
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.093755 0.112228 0.132238 0.155391 0.181308 0.209296 0.241671
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.083643 0.106880 0.133160 0.164754 0.201379 0.242180 0.290744
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075914 0.102766 0.134288 0.173429 0.220121 0.273451 0.338365
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.066236 0.094893 0.129772 0.174416 0.229096 0.292968 0.372269
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056465 0.085670 0.122518 0.171092 0.232091 0.304853 0.396845
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052252 0.083075 0.123103 0.177105 0.246240 0.330024 0.437398
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047920 0.079793 0.122368 0.181088 0.257638 0.351782 0.473945
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043617 0.076069 0.120639 0.183442 0.266742 0.370616 0.506980
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039359 0.071955 0.117992 0.184246 0.273607 0.386532 0.536418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.039249 0.073966 0.123879 0.196669 0.295871 0.422257 0.591141
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036285 0.071302 0.122883 0.199454 0.305261 0.441520 0.625203
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033449 0.068785 0.122207 0.203015 0.316293 0.463799 0.664439
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030023 0.065005 0.119454 0.203530 0.323239 0.480980 0.697605
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029187 0.065497 0.123155 0.213431 0.343311 0.515804 0.754180
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028394 0.065968 0.126782 0.223263 0.363429 0.550947 0.811596
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025782 0.062892 0.124574 0.224209 0.370878 0.569036 0.846620
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022443 0.058086 0.119241 0.220135 0.370943 0.576999 0.868209
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021529 0.057804 0.121261 0.227291 0.387223 0.607199 0.919696
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.020255 0.056669 0.121756 0.232034 0.400020 0.632734 0.965169
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.018761 0.054919 0.121073 0.234838 0.409953 0.654378 1.005577
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017109 0.052638 0.119307 0.235794 0.417089 0.672148 1.040859
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017631 0.055123 0.126046 0.250591 0.445099 0.719424 1.116737